Sunday, July 27, 2008

What Expensive Oil Means For Forex Traders

By Andrew Shiveley

This article presents the unique opportunity for long-term forex trading gains that is made possible by the worldwide increase in oil prices.

More and more we are seeing evidence of the effects that increasing oil prices are having on the economy and certain energy-dependent sectors such as airlines. Oil is already over $100, and it is projected to exceed $150 per barrel with common gas prices exceeding $6.00 per gallon.

If you are a savvy investor however, this presents for you an opportunity to make hefty and reliable gains.There is a simple currency trading strategy that has been used consistently and reliably for large gains by many traders, and it is really so simple if you understand basic economics you will feel dumbfounded that you did not think of it.

Here is the strategy in a nutshull: (Once you know the strategy then we can talk about why and how it works.) Track the price of oil and look for a day when there is a large jump up in the price of oil (the close is up $.30 or higher). Once this happens, enter into a sell order with the USD/CHF currency pair that will stay open for 12 hours - 3 days with a profit target of 25 pips or more.

If you understand just basic economics and the nature of national monetary systems then you should understand why this strategy is so effective, and why it works the best when you are trading the Swiss franc. As it exists today, the Swiss franc is literally the only currency that is backed by gold (though that will change once Nesara is passed in America) and so it is much more immune to fluctuations in the values of important commodities such as oil.

The United States dollar is a fiat currency and hence has no fiscal backing. Combine that with deep Bush-instigated national debt and an addiction to oil and you have a huge economy that is highly reactive to the price of oil. So when oil jumps, the US dollar begins to lose its footing.

Many people are fear-mongers that keep saying things like "Oh my gosh the dollar is going to collapse!" and they are dead wrong. Yes our oil addiction is a bad thing, but no there is no big collapse coming especially with Nesara just over the horizon. And even if there was something like this, the lifestyle and standard of living of most Americans would be relatively unchanged (as evidenced by the collapse of the Soviet Union where the life of the average person was virtually unaffected).

So no the dollar will not collapse any time during our lifetimes, but yes it is highly responsive to the price of oil. Switzerland is also an economy that relies on oil, but because their currency is linked to gold then they have a fiscal 'buffer' that can soften the effect that increases in oil prices will have on the franc. So high oil prices will have a profoundly lowered effect on the franc, and the effect will take longer to set in. As you should see this affords a savvy trader the 12-36 hour window where the highly responsive dollar will drop but the franc remains relatively unchanged.

When using this strategy it is probably a good idea to stick with the lower 20-30 pip profit targets because you are looking for 100% reliability and guaranteed profits, and the more money you try to 'squeeze out' of the market the more risky it becomes.

Looking for free forex ebooks related to currency trading? Go to TheCurrencyMarkets.com/forex-ebooks.htm to find a free forex ebook library.

You can also go to TheCurrencyMarkets.com/currency-trading-strategy-reports.htm to read about two of the most valuable and affordable forex trading courses that can fast-track your trading success.

Forex Trend Following - The Art of Trend Following For Mega Profits

By Kelly Price

Forex trend following offers you the opportunity to lock into the trends that can make triple digit profits but while it looks easy, its not and you wouldn't expect it to be with the rewards on offer but if you can master it, then you can enjoy spectacular success and this article is designed to show you how to do it...

Look at any forex chart and you will see trends which last for weeks, months or years and if you can lock into them, you can make triple digit profits and here are some tips on how to do just that.

First - Be patient!

The big high odds trends only come around infrequently you can't force them so wait for them. I know traders who only trade a few times per year per currency yet, pile up triple digit gains.

Don't be in a hurry wait for the right opportunities and these will normally come from breakouts to new chart highs or lows.

Most big trending moves start from these so you need to go with them and the more valid the breakout is, the bigger the chances of a continuation of the trend will be.

Spotting Trend Direction is Easy - Making Profits from the Trend is Harder

It's easy to spot a long term trend and many traders are right about trend direction but simply can't make any money from them - Why?

There are problems normally with money management as well as psychologically.

In terms of money management, you MUST have a stop outside of normal volatility, or you will get bumped out the trade -- only to see the market stop you out and then go back the way you thought!

This is not normally a problem when you enter the trade - but when you trail your stop.

Fact is most traders pull their stops up to tight and again get bumped out by volatility when you must hold it back outside of volatility. Sure you give a bit back at the end of the trend but that shouldn't bother you. If you caught 50% of every major trend, you would make a killing from the markets.

Hold you stop back and trail it slowly.

You will find that this may look more risky but it's actually less risky and will give you a bigger reward.

The other problem with traders is psychologically they cannot accept huge profits, even when the market wants to give them to them!

A typical example is a trader gets in on a trend and makes a profit but the bigger the profit becomes the more he wants to take it before it gets way.

As the profit gets bigger and bigger and the volatility eats into open equity, the more the trader wants to take it until in the end he snatches the profit or bumps his stop right up. Sure he gets out with a small profit but most big trends last a long time and instead of having a spectacular profit, he has a small one.

Understand This!

In forex trading your aim is to make money, not seek perfection with market timing. You can't do it and you cannot buy or sell market bottoms and tops so don't try.

You have to understand if you want to bank a big profit from the major trends you are going to have to give back a bit at the end and have open equity dips, along the way. That's just the nature of forex trading.

If you can trade with discipline and be patient, then long term forex trend following offers you spectacular profits and all you have to do is - accept the profits the market wants to give you.

This may sound simple - but requires iron discipline.

Master the art of forex trend following though and you could get rich!

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For free 2 x trading Pdf's, with 50 of pages of essential info on Forex Trend Following visit our website at: http://www.learncurrencytradingonline.com

Forex Trading Strategy - Want to Trade? Check That You Have This in Your Strategy Or Lose!

By Kelly Price

If you want to trade a forex trading strategy and win, you must have this in it and if you don't you are going to join the vast majority of losing traders - let's look at it...

The specific element which needs to be contained in your forex trading strategy is:

A "trading edge" which you understand, are confident in and can apply with discipline.

Sounds obvious it is yet most traders' mistake what an edge is and it is NONE of the following:

- Trying to follow someone else and not knowing the strategy

- Following a forex robot with simulated track record

- Day trading or scalping systems

- Systems that want to predict forex prices

- A complicated trading strategy

- Working hard and believing your effort will be rewarded

- Being clever and thinking this is a route to trading success

- Trading breaking news

The above, are all based on either getting the wrong forex education and believing myths or, trying to follow others.

Most new traders do one or the other and lose - UNDERSTAND THIS!

Forex trading is NOT easy, if it were 95% of traders wouldn't lose. It's not hard either, if you work smart, understand what you are doing and get a trading edge.

You can learn forex trading in about 2 weeks and then in 30 minutes a day, seek big profits but you must understand that you need a trading edge you have confidence in. You need to have learned it yourself, because if you don't know what it is and have confidence in it; you will never be able to trade with discipline.

Discipline is simply the ability to keep executing your trading signals through losing periods ( all forex traders who are successful face this and don't believe anyone who tells you otherwise) and these periods can last for weeks.

If you can't keep executing your signals in line with your system, during these losing periods, you may as well not have a trading system.

You must be able to trade through losing periods, until you get winners which you will, if your system is soundly and logically based.

To win and make long term profits in forex trading, you must learn to lose in the short term. You cant win inforex trading without taking your losses cheerfully.

It's a fact that anyone can learn to trade but must traders fail. As we have noted this isn't because they can't learn, they can - they just get the wrong information or don't have confidence in what there doing and this normally means they don't have a trading edge or are not confident in it.

A trading edge is unique to you, all traders have different ones - but all the successful traders, know what it is and have confidence that it will lead them to long term currency trading success.

If you understand the above then you are on the way to achieving currency trading success.

NEW! 2 X FREE ESSENTIAL TRADER PDFS
ESSENTIAL FOREX TRADING COURSE

For free 2 x trading Pdf's, with 50 of pages of essential info on Forex Trading Systems visit our website at: http://www.learncurrencytradingonline.com.

Forex Trading Forecasting - Mathematical Order in the Market and How to Profit From It

By Kelly Price

There are many trading theories which believe in mathematical order in the market and you can predict the future. Human nature is constant and therefore if you know the law of market movement you can make money but what are the best scientific theories?

The three major ones are those based on Gann and Elliot wave and the Fibonacci number sequence.

They all claim to be scientific but to be a scientific theory, they must conform to the following:

- Be totally objective with a set of rules to follow

- Work all the time.

This is the definition of a scientific theory and none of the above are.

Gann and Elliot wave are totally subjective and while you get various levels you can buy or sell to with Fibonacci, they certainly don't work every time!

Markets are not scientific and while human nature is constant, it cannot be predicted with scientific accuracy and that's a fact.

This is why all the scientific theories and complex computers today have not increased the amount of winners. Indeed, if a scientific theory did work we would have no market, as everyone would know the price in advance.

How to Win Without Science

A great book which any speculator can learn from is the Zurich Axioms.

This book devised a set of rules which a group of Swiss bankers, who used them to get rich and it lays out a number of rules and principles for speculators to follow and one of them is on forecasts which is very true.

"Human behavior cannot be predicted. Distrust anyone who claims to know the future, however dimly".
As the books points out if astrologers were always right they would all be rich and there not. Predicting markets is actually doomed to failure just like astrology and the book makes clear:

"Do not look for order where order does not exist." And the book goes on...

"The Historian's trap is a particular kind of orderly illusion. It is based on the age-old but entirely unwarranted belief that history repeats itself. People who hold this belief - which is to say perhaps ninety-nine out of every hundred people on earth - believe as a corollary proposition that the orderly repetition of history allows for accurate forecasting in certain situations.... Don't fall into this trap. It is true that history repeats itself sometimes, but most often it doesn't, and in any case it never does so in a reliable enough way that you can prudently bet money on it".

In hindsight you can prove anything and this is known as the chartist illusion

"Beware the chartist's illusion - it is characteristic of human minds to perceive links of cause and effect where none exist"

You can of course when you have all the facts at your disposal see things as orderly when there not.

Traders do this all the time - they test rules and parameters over a section of data and bend rules to fit it and think it will work in real life but of course the exact data sequence never repeats again and they lose.

Ever wonder why all those forex robots sold online, never make money in real life - despite having great track records?

The answer is the track record is a simulation backwards which appears logical- but when it's traded going forward, it collapses.

Why You Can Make Money

Despite the fact markets don't move to science you can still make money from them, if you see them as an odds game.

If you took a game of poker as an example of an odds game and talk to the best poker players, they know they are not going to win every hand - but they are confident of winning longer term. Why?

Because they know that if they bet on high odds hands and fold or pass by low odds hands, they will win longer term.

If you take trading forex who are some of the top traders in the world?

You guessed it - poker players!

So forget about predicting and science, see forex as an odds game and trade the reality of price change sure you wont win every trade but you will win more than you lose and this can mean huge profits.

Don't look for perfection look to make money.

NEW! 2 X FREE ESSENTIAL TRADER PDFS
ESSENTIAL FOREX TRADING COURSE

For free 2 x trading Pdf's, with 50 of pages of Critical info and more on The Zurich Axioms visit our website at: http://www.learncurrencytradingonline.com

Forex Price Movement - How and Why Prices Really Move

By Kelly Price

This article is going to look at how and why prices move and how to win. Most novice traders make the mistake of thinking prices move to news stories and try and trade them or to some scientific theory - they don't. Forex prices are chaos - but that doesn't mean you can't win, you can and to do so, you must understand the key point of this article...

Here is the equation for market movement

Fundamentals (Supply and Demand) + Investor Perception of = Price

While the above sounds simple and it is most traders don't understand that the facts are NOT important it is how they are perceived by all the investors as a whole that is important.

Many people trade breaking news but it won't help you as it's discounted immediately and furthermore, investors are always looking to the future. To illustrate this think about this fact:

Market bottoms normally occur when the news is most bearish and market tops, when the news is most bullish.

The fundamentals are important long term - but in the short term prices are determined by the greed and fear of the investors, it's what they all think as group that determines price.

Many traders think because human nature is constant, there is a scientific theory of market movement - but of course there isn't. If there was, we would all know the price in advance and there would be no market at all.

Forex is an odds game and your aim is to trade high odds set ups, when the patterns of forex price movement dictate you should and the best way to do this is to use a simple robust trend following forex trading system.

Forex charts show you the supply and demand situation (they simply assume that all fundamentals show up in price action) but they do so something more - they tell you how all the investors perceive them.

Forex charting and technical analysis is not a science, it's an art. You're in fact, playing a similar role to a good poker player. You are looking to bet big on high odds sets, fold ones that don't go right and pass by low odds set ups.

Just like the poker player, you won't win every hand - but if you play the odds, you can win more than you lose and make a lot of money.

Forex charting is easy to learn and if you make it part of your forex education, you can learn it in about 2 weeks and get a robust forex trading strategy together which, you can apply in around 30 minutes a day.

If you can master it forex charting and spot high odds forex price movement patterns, the rewards are huge.

NEW! 2 X FREE ESSENTIAL TRADER PDFS
ESSENTIAL FOREX TRADING COURSE

For free 2 x trading Pdf's, with 50 of pages of essential info on Forex Price Movement visit our website at: http://www.learncurrencytradingonline.com.

Become a Forex Trader From Home - in Simple Steps and Make Huge Consistent Profits

By Kelly Price

If you want to become a forex trader from home and earn a lucrative income you can. Here we will outline how to do this in simple steps you can follow and enjoy currency trading success.

Let's start with a sobering fact - 95% of traders lose.

They don't lose because they can't learn currency trading anyone can, it's a learned skill.

They lose because they either get the wrong forex education, or have the wrong mindset and forex is a unique combination of method and mindset.

Let's stress another obvious fact which most traders fail to register and lose.

You cannot get rich by following someone else!

Don't believe all the gurus, mentors and vendors trying to sell you systems which will make you rich, like the ridiculous forex robots you see all claiming profits and all they have is a back tested track record in hindsight.

If forex trading was as easy as the above, everyone would be making money and that's clearly not the case.

There are only around 5% of traders who make big money and there not in most instances, the cleverest or the hardest working - but they know what it takes to succeed and you must too.

So what does it take to succeed?

In the first instance you need a robust, simple, forex trading strategy and the simpler the better.

Don't be fooled by thinking complicated methods are best - there not.

Make a system to complicated and it will have too many elements to break.

You should base your system on forex charts and simply follow high odds patterns - this is easy to learn and you can do it in a few weeks.

Next you must make sure that you understand and have confidence in your forex trading system (this is why you cant follow other peoples) because, if you don't, you will never have the discipline to follow your method.

If you can't follow your system with discipline, you don't actually have a method!

One of the biggest myths about currency trading is you can trade for regular income or trade with no drawdown. This is mostly promoted by vendors telling you it's easy to trade so you buy their products but has no basis in reality.

Any forex trading system (even the best ones) will spend week or months when they lose and you have to have the discipline to stay on course until you hit a home run. This is not easy - but in forex trading you have to lose to win.

Discipline is a major problem for most traders and if you can achieve it, you are on the road to currency trading success.

Here is a simple equation you should keep in mind:

Simple Logical Robust Trading System = Confidence = Discipline to apply = Forex Profits

While the above equation is simple, most traders don't understand it, if you do and base your forex trading strategy on it, you can achieve forex trading success.

Keep in mind, forex trading is not just about having a good system, its about having confidence in it and the discipline to apply it for success which will see you make long term gains and achieve the income you desire.

NEW! 2 X FREE ESSENTIAL TRADER PDFS
ESSENTIAL FOREX TRADING COURSE

For free 2 x trading Pdf's, with 50 of pages of Critical info and the best Forex Education visit our website at: http://www.learncurrencytradingonline.com

What is the Right Forex Day Trading Strategy For Me?

By Joel Gardner

What is the right Forex day trading strategy for me you may ask? Well the right strategy for you all depends upon what you wish to accomplish with your trading. Each individual is different, having different needs and strategies for what they want to do.

What is the right Forex day trading strategy for you will be decided by you and your broker in conjunction. Both of you will sit down and discuss what the best plan of attack is for your particular situation.

There are many different Forex day trading strategies out there. Each one is tailored to the individual according to need and desire. Your goals will be discussed and formative strategy will be put into place in order to position you for the maximum benefit when dealing with foreign currency.

As this is a risk venture, you will also be informed of what your risk load will be and what you should expect given the circumstances. The best Forex day trading strategy will then be formed and enacted in order to give you the most result depending upon market value.

By using your Forex day trading strategy, you position yourself to make the best choices with the market availability that is presented at any given time. These strategies all are dependent upon market action, price and other factors such as economy and inflation. This will dictate what you do and don't in regards to your trading.

When utilizing a Forex day trading strategy, you incorporate all the information that is needed in order to make an informed decision as to whether or not to buy, sell or hold. These decisions can change as the day goes on. You will be notified of any market changes that can affect your trade whether in potential or in actuality.

Your Forex day trading strategy may change several times in a day, if not more often depending upon the market and what currency you are trading in. By taking note of and acting on the information you will be able to make that strategy work for you.

With so many choices available to you as to what kinds of strategy that you employ, you will be empowered to make the right decision for you. By keeping to your strategy, you will increase your odds of making some sort of financial gain, be it great or small. With time, the gains will increase depending upon market.

Losing money is common when you first start to trade. Honestly, I've lost $13,983 during my first 2 months of Forex Trading. I felt like a complete failure... and I would be if I've given up then. As the saying goes, "It is on our failures that we base a new and different and better success."

I researched and read heavily after my dramatic 'failure' and found several systems and softwares that work for me. You can find those specific systems at Forex Trading Systems Insider. I recommend you take a look at this Forex Trading Softwares and see what actually works for me!

What is a Forex Signal Trading System?

By Joel Gardner

Have you ever asked "What is a Forex Signal Trading System?" The answer is that it is a system of signals that is used in Forex to let you know whether to buy or sell. These signals include buy action; sell action, and standby action just to name some of the signals that can be sent. These signals are sent through SMS and Email to alert you to these conditions.

A Forex signal trading system is a signal system that comes from the Forex trading platform that informs you of certain changes that you should be made aware of. These signals have three different components: Buy sell or standby. The information included in these signals will be currency pair, action, take a profit and stop loss.

These Forex signal trading systems also are included in any type of platform that is used for this purpose. They usually are a part of any package that is purchased from a reliable broker. Usually these packages are either manual or automatic. An automatic system is the best one to use and is the best for signal usage as well.

By using Forex signal trading systems, you have an advantage of automatically getting the signals as opposed to having to mechanically input the signals into the platform. An automatic platform has the ability to alert you and your broker to the changes which can be implemented immediately.

Forex Signal trading systems are an integral part of the Forex Trading platforms. These platforms are essential in the planning and executing of any and all sell and buy transactions. Most signals are usually sent once a day in regards to certain platforms.

By using the Forex signal trading systems, you will have a more reliable base as far as market changes and the opportunity to make a profit whether by selling or buying currency. This will keep you up to date as far as market changes, so that you can act with confidence.

By getting a Forex signal trading system, you have given yourself the ability to utilize the market changes for your benefit. These alerts give you the chance to make the most of your money in your account. This gives you a leg up on profit potential.

These signal systems are a godsend in the area that you will know when is the proper time to buy or sell your foreign currency to be of benefit to you.

Losing money is common when you first start to trade. Honestly, I've lost $13,983 during my first 2 months of Forex Trading. I felt like a complete failure... and I would be if I've given up then. As the saying goes, "It is on our failures that we base a new and different and better success."

I researched and read heavily after my dramatic 'failure' and found several systems and softwares that work for me. You can find those specific systems at Forex Trading Systems Insider. I recommend you take a look at this Forex Trading Softwares and see what actually works for me!

Must Know Facts About the Online Forex Trading Business

By Joel Gardner

You may be asking yourself "What is an online Forex trading business"? Simply put, it is a business, usually online that uses the Forex or foreign exchange to buy and sell foreign currency. This business can either be a corporation or single individuals who trade on Forex.

Online Forex trading business is one of the most popular ways to trade online since it does involve foreign currency. By this business being online, it is open 24 hours a day so that you can trade without fear. These businesses are becoming more popular online both as a commercial business and as an investment practice.

These online forex trading businesses are becoming more prevalent on the internet. There are rules and regulations that govern these businesses much the same as the rules that govern any financial institution or stock exchange.

The benefits of these online forex trading businesses include open 24 hours a day so trading can be done at any time, no commissions and micro or mini accounts just to name a few. There is also no fixed market like there is with the stock market. There are many individuals and corporations that are online that are willing to help beginners learn the trade.

These online forex trading businesses allow you to trade effectively and provide more chances to increase your earnings. Most online Forex trading systems also have demo or training accounts that allow you to learn without risking your own money.

This is a godsend and prevents you from losing your shirt in the process while you are learning the ins and outs of the trading business. Currency trading is in high demand and presents a good profit margin. There are many risk factors included when trading in this type of business. These businesses also have software that helps trading in the Forex market.

Being an online forex trading business means that it can be conducted over the internet. All that is needed is a computer with internet access and a telephone or fax line. This is the world's biggest market and is traded all over the globe.

These online forex businesses are influenced by economic condition, interest rates and inflation. Each of these online sites has a dearth of information for the first time investor. There are no guarantees with this. Money can be made with these businesses online, but there is inherent risk with any type of venture in this category. As with any type of business, careful research is needed before proceeding.

Losing money is common when you first start to trade. Honestly, I've lost $13,983 during my first 2 months of Forex Trading. I felt like a complete failure... and I would be if I've given up then. As the saying goes, "It is on our failures that we base a new and different and better success."

I researched and read heavily after my dramatic 'failure' and found several systems and softwares that work for me. You can find those specific systems at Forex Trading Systems Insider. I recommend you take a look at this Forex Trading Softwares and see what actually works for me!

How Can I Find Genuine Online Forex Trading Systems?

By Joel Gardner

Finding a genuine online Forex trading system can be a bit difficult. There are some things that you need to keep in mind when searching for one online. You would be well advised to find a site that doesn't require you to download software, gives you sufficient tools, had no hidden costs and doesn't charge commission. You will also need to find a platform that has competitive spreads.

There are also other things to check out when searching for a genuine online Forex trading system. You need to also be aware of. It is wise to talk with an experienced trader to get his or her recommendations for a Forex account. Beware if you join a forum to find an online Forex trading system and someone tries to pressure you to sign up on a certain day. There is no reason to do so.

By locating a genuine online Forex trading system, you will have all the tools and information necessary to make informed decisions about investing and trading foreign currency. This investment has risks and no one can guarantee you a safe portfolio. If someone does this, run the other way and have no more dealings with that particular person.

A genuine online Forex trading system will have brokers that are registered by the government and are bound by certain rules that pertain to any financial dealings. They will also not be affiliated with the inter-bank movement. They will not guarantee you high profit with low risk. Those that are fraudulent will.

By finding a genuine online Forex trading system, you can be assured of the best information so that you can make informed choices that will help you to make the best decision as far as investing in the arena of foreign currency.

Taking the time and research needed to find a genuine online Forex trading system will allow you the peace of mind of being a part of a legitimate trading system. It will also provide you with the assurance that you are indeed part of something legitimate and will not be part of a rip off.

Genuine online Forex trading systems are a boon to the Forex trading community. These are fully legitimate communities and will assure you of some safety when trading online.

With set security protocols in place, you will not run the chance of having yourself ripped off or your identity stolen.

Losing money is common when you first start to trade. Honestly, I've lost $13,983 during my first 2 months of Forex Trading. I felt like a complete failure... and I would be if I've given up then. As the saying goes, "It is on our failures that we base a new and different and better success."

I researched and read heavily after my dramatic 'failure' and found several systems and softwares that work for me. You can find those specific systems at Forex Trading Systems Insider. I recommend you take a look at this Forex Trading Softwares and see what actually works for me!

 

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